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Wednesday, May 27, 2009

Mortgage Rate Environment

From the desk of:

Rich Storey
Mortgage Advisor
615-260-8028


Mortgage rates 'all over the map'
Average 30-year fixed inches higher to 5.24%.


NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Home mortgage rates were mixed this week, with the average 30-year ticking higher, according to a report released Thursday.

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate jumped to 5.24%, up from 5.21% the previous week, according to Bankrate.com's weekly national survey.

Even with the increase, rates remain at historic lows, the report said. Rates have plunged since late October, when 30-year fixed home mortgage rates averaged 6.77%.
"The economy remains very weak, and those concerns are balancing out the worries investors have about the amount of government debt issuance," the report said, because mortgage rates are closely tied to long-term Treasurys.

"The prospect of ongoing purchases of government and mortgage-backed debt, as well as the possibility that the Fed could increase the pace of those purchases should conditions warrant, will help keep a lid on rates for the balance of 2009," the report added.

Six months ago, the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate was 6.33%, meaning a $200,000 loan would have carried a monthly payment of $1,241.86.

With the average rate now at 5.24%, the monthly payment for the same size loan would be $1,103.17, meaning homeowners who refinance now would save $138 per month.

Other rates: The average 15-year fixed rate mortgage fell to 4.74% from 4.76% the week prior.
The average jumbo 30-year fixed rate fell to 6.37%.

Adjustable rate mortgages were also mixed, the report said, with the average 1-year ARM falling to 4.94% while the 5-year ARM increased to 4.96%.

Credited to: www.CNNMoney.com

Tuesday, May 5, 2009

Pending Home Sales Jump

From the Desk of:

Rich Storey
615.260.8028

Pending home sales jump 3.2%
Buyers defy expectations with an increase in sales contracts signed during March.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Is the housing meltdown ending?

Pending home sales rose in March for the second consecutive month and are up year over year. The Pending Home Sales Index from the National Association of Realtors showed a 3.2% gain to 84.6 from February, when it was 82. The index stands 1.6% higher than a year ago.

The consensus forecast of industry experts polled by Briefing.com had predicted no increase in the index.

It may still take a while before the market gains enough momentum to firmly state that the downturn has been reversed, according to Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist. And, the upturn may have been boosted by the first-time homebuyers tax credit, a temporary measure that will lapse in December.

"We need several months of sustained growth to demonstrate a recovery in housing, which is necessary for the overall economy to turn around," said Yun. "This increase could be the leading edge of first-time buyers responding to very favorable affordability conditions and an $8,000 tax credit, which increases buying power even more in areas where special programs allow buyers to use it as a down payment."

The index is understood to be a forward indicator of home sales trends since it measures contracts signed, not completed sales. The up-tick may indicate that home prices have fallen low enough for buyers to get off the fence.

Feeling for the bottom
Yun is not calling a bottom yet, however, because the index is still at a relatively low level. Instead, he's looking toward the summer selling season to determine what direction the market will take. Plus, he would like the number of homes on the market to drop to a more normal level of six to seven months of supply.

"If inventory goes down - it's at just under 10 months now - to below eight months, that would mean we're on the way to a sustainable recovery," Yun said.

Anecdotal evidence indicates that trend may be happening. Realtors and other industry insiders are seeing rising open house attendance and multiple bids on some particularly desirable properties. Plus, pricing has become sharper, according to Sherry Chris, the CEO of Better Homes and Gardens Real Estate.

"Overpricing seems to be ending," she said. "Properties are coming onto the market and selling quickly."

And buyers are feeling a little more urgency, she added. In many markets, buyers have not felt any pressure to make an offer. "They said to themselves, 'I don't have to act immediately. It will still be on the market two weeks from now,'" she said.

Today, buyers are more likely to bid because they perceive the market as at or near its bottom. An April Gallup Poll reported that 71% of Americans thought it was a good time to buy a house.
They don't, however, believe there will be price increases soon; three of four buyers think prices will stabilize or even decline in their areas over the next 12 months, according to Gallup.

Pat Newport, a real estate analyst for IHS Global Insight, is putting less emphasis on pending home sales than he once did for his housing market analyses. There has been a disconnect lately, he said, between the number of properties going into contract (pending home sales) and the number that actually close (existing home sales).

He speculates that this is because buyers are making offers and signing contracts but, because of financing problems, many deals are falling through.

Regional differences
The South saw the largest gain of any region, with pending home sales jumping 8.5%. Pending sales are 7.7% higher there compared with a year ago.

The Midwest gained 3.9% from February and 1.7% year-over-year. Northeast sales fell 5.7% and are off 24.1% compared with March 2008. The West dropped 1% for the month but are up 8.2% year-over-year.

Low home prices continued to help to drive sales, although NAR's affordability index actually fell 2.3% from February, when it hit a historic high. This index is based on family income, home prices and mortgage rates.

"Compared to a year ago, the typical family can pay much less in mortgage costs for the same home, or buy a better home without necessarily increasing their monthly payment," said NAR President Charles McMillan, in a prepared statement. "For buyers who've been on the sidelines and have good jobs, the market has never looked more favorable.

Credited to: www.CNNMoney.com

Monday, May 4, 2009

New Mortgage Incentives for Lenders


U.S. to pay off mortgage investors

Treasury Department announces new mortgage incentives for lenders, which will reduce monthly payments for millions of borrowers.

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WASHINGTON (Reuters) -- The U.S. Treasury Department will Tuesday tap a $50 billion housing rescue fund to pay off mortgage investors and reduce monthly payments for millions of borrowers, said a senior administration official.

Mortgage servicers that own a small stake in costly loans will receive a cash payment to either erase the debt or agree to accept a reduced return on their investment.

"It will be a shared effort with lenders, investors, borrowers and the government to ease or extinguish second-lien mortgage payments," a senior administration official told Reuters.

During the height of the housing boom, some borrowers were able to buy a home with no downpayment by adding a second lien, and many of those loans are now failing as the economy and housing market struggle.

Second liens typically carry a higher interest rate than primary mortgages but those second liens will have a lower rate under the modification plan, the officials said.

"The second lien holder, as is appropriate in the junior position, is taking more of a reduction in interest rate," one official said. "The interest rate will go at least as low as the interest rate on the first and it will (fall) much further to get there."

Tuesday's announcement will build on President Barack Obama's housing rescue plan announced in February that aims to reduce the cost of homeownership for up to 9 million borrowers straining to make their monthly payments.

Rescue gets a revamp

Officials will also announce new incentives for the Hope for Homeowners program conceived last summer to refinance hundreds of thousands of struggling borrowers.

In fact, the program has only aided a handful of homeowners and the Department of Housing and Urban Development will offer mortgage servicers thousands of dollars for each home loan that they successfully modify under that troubled program, the officials said.

The officials said that they will continue to remove other bureaucratic encumbrances and expand incentives where needed to steer more homeowners away from default.

Some analysts have faulted officials and lawmakers for leaving Hope for Homeowners hamstrung by the question of second liens as those investors have had a near veto power on modifications.

"It has taken policymakers a long time to realize that second liens are a showstopper," said Dwight Jaffe, a professor of housing finance at Berkeley University in California. To top of page

Credited to:  www.CNNMoney.com